Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 95830.041986 101028.265443 106223.052367 111800.469137 117615.675196 123496.509359 129889.688279
2025-11-09 86887.321991 94798.065583 102921.436256 111876.165378 121459.691936 131397.943458 142472.441778
2025-11-16 81363.408742 91189.939420 101496.567276 113091.349019 125750.102865 139128.989879 154315.940219
2025-11-23 76289.009848 87473.213201 99415.327074 113080.522291 128248.508074 144531.932621 163297.664943
2025-11-30 73157.158887 85547.908458 98983.099560 114581.695572 132140.201516 151239.739416 173531.355393
2025-12-07 70212.671017 83583.165227 98283.478651 115575.190249 135284.974190 156976.850264 182578.976808
2025-12-14 67044.368773 81158.099207 96878.310359 115595.398932 137178.376859 161188.656609 189818.811099
2025-12-21 64401.623892 79182.419032 95845.102318 115907.731699 139289.621615 165558.078304 197174.209723
2025-12-28 62806.814257 78326.956643 96015.977239 117531.506036 142848.291841 171542.650691 206367.621921
2026-01-04 61121.803371 77270.729229 95870.240621 118712.609451 145835.959535 176835.000109 214753.077112
2026-01-11 59343.802329 76017.001807 95415.284592 119460.389469 148260.979611 181439.084543 222325.674135
2026-01-18 57423.156909 74508.650211 94583.219376 119691.360782 150018.823060 185223.851568 228919.305150
2026-01-25 55719.964868 73220.764655 93983.240536 120181.440705 152085.840007 189397.552040 236029.451417
2026-02-01 53894.258180 71717.109279 93065.005080 120236.576823 153593.482758 192888.359978 242331.458840
2026-02-08 52802.360717 71084.529462 93176.628114 121520.305642 156573.080556 198140.275504 250764.637322
2026-02-15 51144.379404 69677.868746 92276.938756 121507.705996 157929.048567 201410.320289 256800.681325
2026-02-22 50351.926152 69340.762708 92684.440854 123099.627454 161251.502117 207072.780488 265767.572535
2026-03-01 49356.182804 68704.058709 92682.942219 124153.164247 163891.152045 211900.862262 273734.601504
2026-03-08 47942.375397 67478.503787 91893.380035 124174.583801 165213.475633 215094.599113 279694.614397
2026-03-15 46738.708386 66489.692461 91371.801781 124505.785509 166902.228040 218730.268524 286205.315015
2026-03-22 46204.616381 66364.357666 91945.148426 126227.517278 170347.732831 224559.901673 295469.461036
2026-03-29 45496.967756 65982.489335 92165.484383 127479.716444 173191.035151 229645.454921 303831.692004
2026-04-05 44629.446136 65358.272434 92045.985733 128272.441128 175436.339225 233982.172797 311273.702582